Published on July 3rd, 2022 by Felix Martinez
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) has an equity investment portfolio worth more than $360 billion as of the end of the 2022 first quarter.
Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio is filled with quality stocks. You can ‘cheat’ from Warren Buffett stocks to find picks for your portfolio. That’s because Buffett (and other institutional investors) are required to periodically show their holdings in a 13F Filing.
You can see all Warren Buffett stocks (along with relevant financial metrics like dividend yields and price-to-earnings ratios) by clicking on the link below:
Note: 13F filing performance is different than fund performance. See how we calculate 13F filing performance here.
As of March 31, 2022, Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway owned just over 327 thousand shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) for a total market value exceeding $58.72 million. Johnson & Johnson currently constitutes over 0.02% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investment portfolio.
This article will thoroughly examine Johnson & Johnson’s prospects as an investment today.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), together with its subsidiaries, is engaged in researching, developing, manufacturing, and selling various products in the health care field worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Consumer, Pharmaceutical, and Medical Devices & Diagnostics.
The company is headquartered in New Brunswick, New Jersey, and the consumer division is in Skillman, New Jersey. The corporation includes some 250 subsidiary companies with operations in 60 countries and products sold in over 175 countries. Johnson & Johnson had sales of $93.8 billion worldwide during the calendar year 2021.
Johnson & Johnson’s brands include numerous household names of medications and first aid supplies. Its well-known consumer products include the Band-Aid Brand line of bandages, Tylenol medications, Johnson’s Baby products, Neutrogena skin, beauty products, Clean & Clear facial wash, and Acuvue contact lenses. Johnson & Johnson’s pharmaceutical arm is Janssen Pharmaceuticals.
On April 19, 2022, the company reported first-quarter results for the 2022 Fiscal Year. Revenue increased 5% to $23.4 billion but missed estimates by $210 million. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $2.67 compared to $2.59 in the prior year was $0.10 better than expected.
Adjusted net earnings were 3% higher than the first quarter of last year. This quarter, net earnings were $7,129 million compared to $6,924 million in the first quarter of 2021.
The Pharmaceutical segment, which is JNJ’s most significant segment, saw sales increase from $12,101 million to $12,869 million, an increase of 6.3% year-over-year. Oncology was leading the way with another quarter of 10% growth. Darzalex, treating multiple myeloma, continues to see a higher market share in all regions due to higher uptake rates. Imbruvica, which treats lymphoma, declined yearly due to competition but remained the top treatment option in its area.
Immunology improved by 5.2%, driven once again by higher demand for Stelara, which treats immune-mediated inflammatory diseases, in the areas of Crohn’s Disease and Ulcerative Colitis. Infectious Diseases continue to perform well, showing 30% growth.
Source: Investor Presentation
The company’s growth will come from intellectual property in the drug group, switching costs in the device segment, and strong brand power from the consumer group.
The company has been growing earnings over the past ten years with a 6.7% CAGR. We expect the company to continue this growth rate, but a little slower at a 6% annual rate.
Another growth driver of earnings will come from share buybacks. Over the past ten years, the company has been decreasing its outstanding shares by 0.6% CARG.
Another growth driver will be to increase sales in the international segment. AS you see below, the worldwide business segment makes up 52.1% of sales. This was increased by 13.6% compared to 2020.
Source: Investor Presentation
Competitive Advantages & Recession Performance
Johnson & Johnson’s key competitive advantage is the size and scale of its business. The company is a worldwide leader in several healthcare categories. Johnson & Johnson’s diversification allows it to continue to grow even if one of the segments is underperforming. This can be seen in the last quarterly report, where gains in Medical Devices and Pharmaceuticals offset declines in consumers.
Also, the company is not dependent on one segment. For example, the pharmaceutical business, medical device group, and consumer products represent close to 50%, 30%, and 20% of total sales, respectively. Additionally, within each segment, no one product dominates sales.
During the Great Recession, earnings grew in 2008 by 10%, and they grew by 2% in 2009. This speaks volumes about how resilient the company is. However, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the company did see earnings decrease by 7% compared to 2019. However, it bounced back strong with a 22% increase in earnings for 2021, which was higher than 2019.
Valuation & Expected Returns
We expect the company to increase 2022 earnings by 5% compared to 2021. Thus, we expect that the company will make $10.25 per share.
The current price of $179.50 gives us a PE ratio of 17.9x earnings. This is high compared to its ten-year average of 16.8x earnings. This gives investors a slight headwind in expected total return.
The company dividend yield is 2.5%, which is higher than the S&P 500 but a little lower than the company’s five-year average of 2.6%.
Overall, we expect the company to produce a total return of about 8% annually over the next five years.
Johnson & Johnson reported a steady quarter; something shareholders have seen many times over the years. This continued growth has enabled the company to extend its dividend growth streak to six decades. Johnson & Johnson remains on track to divest its consumer business to focus on the faster-growing pharmaceutical and medical device segments.
Thus, we rate this stock as a hold right now and want to see it lower the 16.5x earnings.
Other Dividend Lists
Value investing is a valuable process to combine with dividend investing. The following lists contain many more high-quality dividend stocks:
- The Dividend Aristocrats List is comprised of 65 stocks in the S&P 500 Index with 25+ years of consecutive dividend increases.
- The High Yield Dividend Aristocrats List is comprised of the 20 Dividend Aristocrats with the highest current yields.
- The Dividend Achievers List is comprised of ~350 stocks with 10+ years of consecutive dividend increases.
- The Dividend Kings List is even more exclusive than the Dividend Aristocrats. It is comprised of 38 stocks with 50+ years of consecutive dividend increases.
- The High Yield Dividend Kings List is comprised of the 20 Dividend Kings with the highest current yields.
- The Blue Chip Stocks List: stocks that qualify as Dividend Achievers, Dividend Aristocrats, and/or Dividend Kings
- The High Dividend Stocks List: stocks that appeal to investors interested in the highest yields of 5% or more.
- The Monthly Dividend Stocks List: stocks that pay dividends every month, for 12 dividend payments per year.
- The Dividend Champions List: stocks that have increased their dividends for 25+ consecutive years.
Note: Not all Dividend Champions are Dividend Aristocrats because Dividend Aristocrats have additional requirements like being in The S&P 500.
- The Dividend Contenders List: 10-24 consecutive years of dividend increases.
- The Dividend Challengers List: 5-9 consecutive years of dividend increases.