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Will Amazon Ever Pay A Dividend?


Updated on March 21st, 2019 by Bob Ciura

Over the past decade, many technology companies such as Apple, Inc. (AAPL), Cisco Systems (CSCO) and more have initiated dividend payments to shareholders.

There are now over 300 dividend-paying technology stocks, which makes the technology sector a surprisingly good source of dividend payers.

While the technology industry has widely embraced dividends, not all tech companies pay dividends. One lingering holdout to the notion of paying dividends to shareholders is e-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN).

Despite climbing to a market capitalization above $800 billion, with over $230 billion in annual revenue, Amazon still does not pay a dividend to shareholders.

Rather than return cash to shareholders, Amazon continues to plow its cash flow back into the business.

Amazon’s lack of a dividend certainly has not hurt investors to this point, as Amazon has been a premier growth stock. Over the past 10 years, Amazon stock generated returns of nearly 40% per year.

But for income investors, Amazon may not be an attractive option.

This article will discuss the chances of Amazon ever paying a dividend.

Business Overview

Amazon is an online retailer that operates a massive e-commerce platform where consumers can buy virtually anything with their computers or smartphones. It operates through the following segments:

The North America and International segments include the global retail platform of consumer products through the company’s websites.

The Amazon Web Services segment sells subscriptions for cloud computing and storage services to consumers, start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions.

Amazon’s e-commerce operations fueled its massive revenue growth over the past decade. Consider that in 2008, Amazon generated revenue of $14.84 billion. Sales reached $232.9 billion in 2018, an amazing level of growth over the past decade.

AMZN Sales

Source: Earnings Presentation

Of course, Amazon’s huge revenue growth did not come easy (or cheap). Amazon had to spend huge amounts of money to build its retail operation. As a result, Amazon had razor-thin profit margins for many years of its growth phase.

That said, the company was profitable in every year over the past decade except 2014.

For the fourth quarter, Amazon generated $72.4 billion in revenue, a 20% increase compared to the same quarter last year.

Net income increased to $3.0 billion for the quarter, up from $1.9 billion year-over-year. On a per-share basis, Amazon’s earnings were $6.04, an increase of 61% from $3.75 in the year-ago period,.

For 2018, net sales increased 31%, while earnings-per-share more than tripled to $20.14.

Amazon also provided guidance for the first quarter of 2019. The company expects net sales of between $56 billion and $60 billion, a 10% to 18% increase.

Operating income is expected in a range of $2.3 billion to $3.3 billion compared with $1.9 billion in the same quarter last year.

While the retail business continues to operate at very low gross margins, the AWS segment is highly profitable, and is largely the reason for Amazon’s impressive earnings growth.

Such strong earnings growth improves Amazon’s chances of paying a dividend at some point in the future. That said, the company still plans to invest heavily in growth.

Growth Prospects

As is typical with many technology companies, growth investment is Amazon’s top strategic priority. This is partly out of necessity.

Things move extremely fast in technology, a highly competitive and cyclical industry. Technology firms need to invest large amounts to stay ahead of the pack.

Amazon is no different—it is making major investments to continue building its online retail platform. Amazon continues to grow its retail business. It also acquired natural and organic grocer Whole Foods for nearly $14 billion. This gave Amazon the brick-and-mortar footprint it desired to further expand its reach in groceries.

Amazon isn’t stopping there. In addition to the retail industry, it aims to spread its tentacles into other industries as well, including media and healthcare.

Amazon has built a sizable media platform in which it distributes content to its Amazon Prime members.

Making original content is another highly capital-intensive endeavor, which will require huge sums in order for Amazon to compete with the likes of streaming giants Netflix (NFLX) and Hulu, as well as other television and movie studios.

Now that Amazon dominates retail and media content, it is readying a potential move into the healthcare industry. Last year Amazon acquired online pharmacy PillPack for just under $1 billion, likely a precursor to a bigger move into healthcare distribution.

These investments will fuel Amazon’s revenue growth, which is what the company’s investors are primarily concerned with.

Nevertheless, such aggressive spending will limit Amazon’s ability to pay dividends to shareholders, at least for some time.

Will Amazon Ever Pay A Dividend?

Amazon has joined the ranks of highly-profitable tech companies like Apple and Cisco, which generate high earnings-per-share.

In this way, Amazon has climbed ahead of other similar tech stocks like Netflix (NFLX), which still does not pay a dividend (and might never) due to a lack of consistent profits.

Amazon’s earnings-per-share exceeded $20 in 2018, which means the company has reached a new level of profitability. However, Amazon still has a way to go before anyone should realistically expect it to begin paying dividends.

In theory, Amazon could pay a dividend if it chose to. Amazon is cash flow-positive, meaning it generates free cash flow that could be used to pay dividends.

In 2018, Amazon generated $17.3 billion of free cash flow, a huge increase from $6.41 billion in 2017.

AMZN Cash Flow

Source: Earnings Presentation

The company could use its free cash flow for a number of purposes, including debt repayment, reinvestment in future growth initiatives, paying dividends, or simply letting the cash build on the balance sheet.

If Amazon chose to, it could distribute a dividend to shareholders, although any announced dividend payout would likely be small.

Amazon ended 2018 with 496 million shares outstanding. If the company announced a modest dividend payout of $5 per share, which would represent a dividend payout ratio of 25% based on 2018 earnings-per-share, it would provide a dividend yield of just 0.3%.

The very low dividend yield is the result of Amazon’s sky-high share price of nearly $1,800 apiece. A dividend yield of 0.3% would be virtually meaningless for income investors.

The company could pay out a greater percentage of its earnings to generate a higher yield, but this would hinder its ability to invest in growth, which is critical for technology companies like Amazon.

Final Thoughts

There is no debating the fact that Amazon has been one of the most impressive growth companies in history.

From its humble beginnings as an online book seller, Amazon now dominates the online retail industry. It is also a massive cloud services provider, as well as a movie studio and content streaming giant.

Ultimately, a company has to make the decision to initiate a dividend payment. This is often done when future growth no longer requires such heavy investment.

For Amazon, the company still has many new avenues for future expansion in mind, including (but not limited to) grocery stores and health care distribution.

As a result, growth is still very much the top priority for Amazon. As a result, investors should not expect a dividend payment any time soon, despite Amazon’s rising profitability.

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