2021 Dividend Aristocrats List | See All 65 Now | Updated Daily

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2021 Dividend Aristocrats List | Updated Daily | All 65 Analyzed


Article updated on October 4th, 2021 by Bob Ciura
Spreadsheet data updated daily

The Dividend Aristocrats are a select group of 65 S&P 500 stocks with 25+ years of consecutive dividend increases.

They are the ‘best of the best’ dividend growth stocks. The Dividend Aristocrats have a long history of outperforming the market.

The requirements to be a Dividend Aristocrat are:

There are currently 65 Dividend Aristocrats. You can download an Excel spreadsheet of all 65 (with metrics that matter such as dividend yields and price-to-earnings ratios) by clicking the link below:

 

Note: On January 22nd, 2021, International Business Machines (IBM), NextEra Energy (NEE), and West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) were added to the Dividend Aristocrats Index. Carrier Global (CARR), Otis Worldwide (OTIS), and Raytheon Technologies (RTX) were all removed, leaving the total count at 65.

Source: S&P News Releases.

You can see detailed analysis on all 65 further below in this article, in our Dividend Aristocrats In Focus series. Analysis includes valuation, growth, and competitive advantage(s).

Table of Contents

How to Use The Dividend Aristocrats List To Find Dividend Investment Ideas

The downloadable Dividend Aristocrats Excel Spreadsheet List above contains the following for each stock in the index:

All Dividend Aristocrats are high quality businesses based on their long dividend histories. A company cannot pay rising dividends for 25+ years without having a strong and durable competitive advantage.

But not all Dividend Aristocrats make equally good investments today. That’s where the spreadsheet in this article comes into play. You can use the Dividend Aristocrats spreadsheet to quickly find quality dividend investment ideas.

The list of all 65 Dividend Aristocrats is valuable because it gives you a concise list of all S&P 500 stocks with 25+ consecutive years of dividend increases (that also meet certain minimum size and liquidity requirements).

These are businesses that have both the desire and ability to pay shareholders rising dividends year-after-year. This is a rare combination.

Together, these two criteria are powerful – but they are not enough. Value must be considered as well.

The spreadsheet above allows you to sort by forward price-to-earnings ratio so you can quickly find undervalued, high quality dividend stocks.

Here’s how to use the Dividend Aristocrats list to quickly find high quality dividend growth stocks potentially trading at a discount:

  1. Download the list
  2. Sort by ‘Forward PE Ratio’, smallest to largest
  3. Research the top stocks further

Here’s how to do this quickly in the spreadsheet

Step 1: Download the list, and open it.

Step 2: Apply a filter function to each column in the spreadsheet.

Step 3: Click on the small gray down arrow next to ‘Forward P/E Ratio’, and then click on ‘Descending’.

Step 4: Review the highest ranked Dividend Aristocrats before investing. You can see detailed analysis on every Dividend Aristocrat further below in this article.

That’s it; you can follow the same procedure to sort by any other metric in the spreadsheet.

This article examines the characteristics and performance of the Dividend Aristocrats in detail. A table of contents for easy navigation is below.

Performance Through September 2021

In September 2021, the Dividend Aristocrats, as measured by the Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL), registered a negative return of -5.7%. It slightly under-performed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) for the month.

Short-term performance is mostly noise. Performance should be measured over a minimum of 3 years, and preferably longer periods of time.

The Dividend Aristocrats Index has slightly under-performed the broader market index over the last decade, with a 15.5% total annual return for the Dividend Aristocrats versus 16.6% for the S&P 500 Index.

However, the Dividend Aristocrats have exhibited lower risk than the benchmark, as measured by standard deviation. This has led to to much closer returns for the Dividend Aristocrats relative to the broader market in the past 10 years.

Source: S&P Fact Sheet

Higher total returns with lower volatility is the ‘holy grail’ of investing. It is worth exploring the characteristics of the Dividend Aristocrats in detail to determine why they have performed so well.

Note that a good portion of the out-performance relative to the S&P 500 comes during recessions (2000 – 2002, 2008). Dividend Aristocrats have historically seen smaller draw-downs during recessions versus the S&P 500. This makes holding through recessions that much easier. Case-in-point: In 2008 the Dividend Aristocrats Index declined 22%. That same year, the S&P 500 declined 38%.

Great businesses with strong competitive advantages tend to be able to generate stronger cash flows during recessions. This allows them to gain market share while weaker businesses fight to stay alive.

The Dividend Aristocrats Index has beaten the market over the last 28 years…

I believe dividend paying stocks outperform non-dividend paying stocks for three reasons:

  1. A company that pays dividends is likely to be generating earnings or cash flows so that it can pay dividends to shareholders. This excludes ‘pre-earnings’ start-ups and failing businesses. In short, it excludes the riskiest stocks.
  2. A business that pays consistent dividends must be more selective with the growth projects it takes on because a portion of its cash flows are being paid out as dividends. Scrutinizing over capital allocation decisions likely adds to shareholder value.
  3. Stocks that pay dividends are willing to reward shareholders with cash payments. This is a sign that management is shareholder-friendly.

In our view, Dividend Aristocrats have historically outperformed the market and other dividend paying stocks because they are, on average, higher-quality businesses.

A high-quality business should outperform a mediocre business over a long period of time, all other things being equal.

For a business to increase its dividends for 25+ consecutive years, it must have or at least had in the very recent past a strong competitive advantage.

Sector Overview

A sector breakdown of the Dividend Aristocrats index is shown below:

The top 2 sectors by weight in the Dividend Aristocrats are Industrials and Consumer Staples. The Dividend Aristocrats Index is tilted toward Consumer Staples and Industrials relative to the S&P 500. These 2 sectors make up over 40% of the Dividend Aristocrats Index, but less than 20% of the S&P 500.

The Dividend Aristocrats Index is also significantly underweight the Information Technology sector, with a 3% allocation compared with over 20% allocation within the S&P 500.

The Dividend Aristocrat Index is filled with stable ‘old economy’ blue chip consumer products businesses and manufacturers; the 3M’s (MMM), Coca-Cola’s (KO), and Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) of the investing world. These ‘boring’ businesses aren’t likely to generate 20%+ earnings-per-share growth, but they also are very unlikely to see large earnings draw-downs as well.

The Top 7 Dividend Aristocrats Now

Analysis on our top 7 Dividend Aristocrats is below. These rankings are based on 5 year forward expected total return estimates from The Sure Analysis Research Database.

 

Looking to go beyond the Dividend Aristocrats?

There are ~140 securities with 25+ years of rising dividends, more than double the number of Dividend Aristocrats. That’s because the Dividend Aristocrats list excludes securities that aren’t in the S&P 500 and/or that don’t meet certain size and liquidity requirements.

Each month we rank stocks with 25+ years of rising dividends based on a mix of expected total returns and Dividend Risk Scores in our Top 10 Dividend Elite service. A special report of our top 10 is published on the 1st day of each month.

Click here to start your free trial of this service and get your special report on our top 10 dividend stock picks with 25+ years of rising dividends.

Dividend Aristocrat #7: Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)

Walgreens Boots Alliance is the largest retail pharmacy in both the United States and Europe. Through its flagship Walgreens business and other business ventures, the company has a presence in more than 25 countries, employs more than 450,000 people and has more than 21,000 stores.

In the most recent quarter, Walgreens reported constant currency revenue growth of 10% from continuing operations. Once again the U.S. pharmaceutical segment led the way for the company.

Source: Investor Presentation

Year-to-date, Walgreens has posted 10% growth in adjusted EPS.

WBA shares trade for a 2021 price-to-earnings ratio of 9, which is below our fair value estimate of 10. In addition, we expect 5% annual EPS growth, while the stock has a 4.1% dividend yield. Total returns are expected to reach 10.6% over the next five years.

Click here to download our most recent Sure Analysis report on WBA (preview of page 1 of 3 shown below):

Dividend Aristocrat #6: Roper Technologies (ROP)

Roper Technologies is a specialized industrial company that manufactures products such as medical and scientific imaging equipment, pumps, and material analysis equipment. Roper Technologies also develops software solutions for the healthcare, transportation, food, energy, and water industries. The company generates around $5.5 billion in annual revenues.

Roper reported its Q2 results on July 23rd, 2021, for the period ended June 30th, 2021. Quarterly revenues and adjusted EPS were $1.59 billion and $2.69, indicating a year-over-year increase of 21.5% and 28%, respectively.

Source: Investor Presentation

Based on expected EPS of $15.10, shares trade for a P/E of 29.6, just below our fair value estimate of 30. A small bump from an expanding P/E multiple could be added to expected EPS growth of 10%, plus the 0.5% dividend yield. Total returns are expected to reach 10.7% per year over the next five years.

Click here to download our most recent Sure Analysis report on ROP (preview of page 1 of 3 shown below):

Dividend Aristocrat #5: Lowe’s Companies (LOW)

Lowe’s Companies is the second-largest home improvement retailer in the US (after Home Depot). The company operates more than 2,200 home improvement and hardware stores in the U.S. and Canada.

Lowe’s reported second quarter results on August 18th. Total sales for the quarter came in at $27.6 billion compared to $27.3 billion in the same quarter a year ago. Comparable sales decreased 1.6% yearoveryear, while the U.S. home improvement comparable sales decreased 2.2%.

Source: Infographic

Based on expected EPS of $11.33 for the current fiscal year, Lowe’s stock trades for a P/E ratio of 18. Our fair value estimate is a P/E of 20. The combination of multiple expansion, 7% expected EPS growth and the 1.6% dividend yield lead to total expected returns of 10.7% per year through 2026.

Click here to download our most recent Sure Analysis report on LOW (preview of page 1 of 3 shown below):

Dividend Aristocrat #4: Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX)

Becton, Dickinson & Company is a global leader in the medical supply industry. The company was founded in 1897 and today operates in 190 countries, generating annual sales above $19 billion. Nearly half the company’s revenue comes from outside the U.S.

The company operates three segmentsthe Medical Division includes needles for drug delivery systems, and surgical blades. The Life Sciences division provides products for the collection and transportation of diagnostic specimens. Lastly, the Intervention segment includes several of the products produced by what used to be Bard.

Source: Investor Presentation

Shares trade for a P/E of 18, just below our fair value estimate. The stock could generate total returns of 10.8% per year, based on expected annual EPS growth of 10% and the 1.4% dividend yield.

Click here to download our most recent Sure Analysis report on BDX (preview of page 1 of 3 shown below):

Dividend Aristocrat #3: Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)

Stanley Black & Decker is a world leader in power tools, hand tools, and related items. The company holds the top global position in tools and storage sales. Stanley Black & Decker is second in the world in the areas of commercial electronic security and engineered fastening.

Source: Investor Presentation

The company reported second quarter results on 7/22/2021. Revenue grew 36.5% to $4.3 billion, topping estimates by $70 million. Adjusted earningspershare of $3.08 compared very favorably to adjusted earningspershare of $1.60 in the prior year.

The stock has a 1.6% dividend yield, and we expect 8% annual EPS growth. With a small reduction from a declining P/E multiple, total returns are expected to reach 11.3% per year.

Click here to download our most recent Sure Analysis report on SWK (preview of page 1 of 3 shown below):

Dividend Aristocrat #2: Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)

ArcherDanielsMidland is the largest publicly traded farmland product company in the United States. The company‘s businesses include the processing of cereal grains and oilseeds and agricultural storage and transportation.

The company reported strong second-quarter earnings results. Adjusted earnings-per-share increased by 56% year-over-year, while adjusted operating profit increased 44%.

Source: Investor Presentation

ADM stock trades for a P/E ratio of 12.5, below our fair value estimate of 15. In addition, we expect 6% annual EPS growth while the stock has a 2.4% dividend yield. Total returns are expected to reach 11.4% per year over the next five years.

Click here to download our most recent Sure Analysis report on ADM (preview of page 1 of 3 shown below):

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Dividend Aristocrat #1: AT&T Inc. (T)

AT&T is a telecommunications giant, as its core Communications segment provides mobile, broadband and video to 100 million U.S. consumers and 3 million businesses.

In the 2021 second quarter, AT&T generated $44.0 billion in revenue, up 7.6% from Q2 2020. Adjusted earnings-per-share (EPS) equaled $0.89 compared to $0.83 in the year ago quarter. AT&T ended the quarter with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.15x.

Source: Investor Presentation

With a P/E below 10, AT&T is undervalued against our fair value estimate of 11. The combination of 3% expected EPS growth and the 7.7% dividend yield lead to total expected returns of 14.2% per year over the next five years.

Click here to download our most recent Sure Analysis report on AT&T (preview of page 1 of 3 shown below):

The Dividend Aristocrats In Focus Analysis Series

You can see analysis on every single Dividend Aristocrat below. Each is sorted by GICS sectors and listed in alphabetical order by name. The newest Sure Analysis Research Database report for each security is included as well, with its date in brackets.

Consumer Staples

Industrials

Health Care

Consumer Discretionary

Financials

Materials

Energy

Information Technology

Real Estate

Telecommunication Services

Utilities

Looking for no-fee DRIP Dividend Aristocrats? Click here to read an article examining all 15 no-fee DRIP Dividend Aristocrats in detail.

Historical Dividend Aristocrats List
(1989 – 2020)

The image below shows the history of the Dividend Aristocrats Index from 1989 through 2020:

Note: CL, GPC, and NUE were all removed and re-added to the Dividend Aristocrats Index through the historical period analyzed above. We are unsure as to why. Companies created via a spin-off (like AbbVie) can be Dividend Aristocrats with less than 25 years of rising dividends if the parent company was a Dividend Aristocrat.

Historical Aristocrats Image April 2020

 

This information was compiled from the following sources:

Other Dividend Lists & Final Thoughts

The Dividend Aristocrats list is not the only way to quickly screen for stocks that regularly pay rising dividends.

There is nothing magical about the Dividend Aristocrats. They are ‘just’ a collection of high quality shareholder friendly stocks that have strong competitive advantages.

Purchasing these types of stocks at fair or better prices and holding for the long-run will likely result in favorable long-term performance.

You have a choice in what type of business you buy into. You can buy into the mediocre, or the excellent.

Often, excellent businesses are not more expensive (based on their price-to-earnings ratio) than mediocre businesses.

“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”

Warren Buffett

Disclaimer: Sure Dividend is not affiliated with S&P Global in any way. S&P Global owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The information in this article and downloadable spreadsheet is based on Sure Dividend’s own review, summary, and analysis of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and other sources, and is meant to help individual investors better understand this ETF and the index upon which it is based. None of the information in this article or spreadsheet is official data from S&P Global. Consult S&P Global for official information.

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