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Dividend Kings In Focus: Sysco Corporation


Updated on July 9th, 2025 by Felix Martinez

The Dividend Kings are a group of 55 companies that have achieved 50 or more consecutive years of dividend increases. They are among the highest-quality dividend growth investments in the entire stock market.

You can see a full downloadable spreadsheet of all 55 Dividend Kings, along with several important financial metrics such as price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields, by clicking on the link below:

 

Food distributor Sysco Corporation (SYY) has a long history of steady dividends and regular dividend increases. It has paid a dividend every quarter since its initial public offering in 1970.

Sysco is an attractive dividend growth stock because it is the largest company in its industry, providing high profit margins and durable competitive advantages.

It also has long-term growth potential and the ability to increase its dividend each year.

Business Overview

Sysco was founded in 1969 and went public the following year. In its first year as a publicly traded company, it had just $115 million in sales. The company has grown steadily over the past five decades. In the 2024 fiscal year, Sysco had sales of $78.8 billion.

Today, Sysco is the largest wholesale food distributor in the U.S. It distributes fresh and frozen foods, dairy and beverage products, tableware, cookware, restaurant and kitchen supplies, and cleaning supplies.

Source: Investor Presentation

The company serves a diverse range of customers, including restaurants, healthcare facilities, educational institutions, government offices, travel agencies, leisure businesses, and retail establishments. It also serves a large segment of other customer types, including bakeries, churches, civic and fraternal organizations, vending distributors, and international exporters.

In all, Sysco has approximately 730,000 customer locations. Its position at the top of the food distribution industry provides Sysco with high-profit margins and future growth potential.

Growth Prospects

Sysco’s operating climate has been challenged over the past two years. The coronavirus pandemic forced the closures of restaurants and other dining venues that make up Sysco’s customer base, and supply chain issues across the country affected Sysco.

Sysco Corporation reported Q3 2025 net earnings of $401 million ($0.82 per diluted share), down 5.6% from $425 million ($0.85 per share) in Q3 2024. Adjusted net earnings fell 2.9% to $469 million ($0.96 per share). Sales grew 1.1% to $19.6 billion, driven by 2.1% product cost inflation, but gross profit dipped 0.8% to $3.6 billion, with gross margin down 35 basis points to 18.3%. Operating income fell 5.7% to $681 million, and adjusted operating income dropped 3.3% to $773 million. EBITDA decreased 2.5% to $910 million, and adjusted EBITDA fell 0.8% to $969 million. Cash flow from operations was $1.3 billion for the first 39 weeks, with free cash flow up $90 million to $954 million.
Segment performance showed U.S. Foodservice sales increased 0.7% to $13.8 billion. Still, volumes declined 2.0% (local sales down 3.5%), resulting in a 1.9% decline in gross profit to $2.6 billion and a 9.7% drop in adjusted operating income to $790 million. International Foodservice sales fell 1.1% to $3.5 billion (up 2.2% constant currency), with gross profit up 1.1% to $728 million and adjusted operating income up 17.4% to $128 million, driven by effective margin management. Sysco returned $1.5 billion to shareholders via $700 million in share repurchases and $752 million in dividends, maintaining $1.5 billion in cash and over $4 billion in liquidity.
Sysco updated FY25 guidance to ~3% sales growth and at least 1% adjusted EPS growth, targeting $2.25 billion in shareholder returns. Despite challenges from wildfires, adverse weather, and weakening consumer confidence impacting restaurant traffic, CEO Kevin Hourican emphasized progress in growth initiatives and the achievement of $100 million in annual cost savings. With a strong balance sheet and a 6% dividend increase planned for FY26, Sysco is positioned to navigate macroeconomic headwinds, including tariffs, while driving long-term growth through its Recipe for Growth strategy.

In our view, organic sales growth, acquisition-added revenue growth, and share repurchases are expected to result in 7% annual earnings-per-share growth.

We believe this goal is attainable due to the company’s robust business model and impressive competitive advantages. The company is also in the process of cutting overhead costs, which should mildly boost bottom-line growth.

Competitive Advantages & Recession Performance

The U.S. food service industry is fiercely competitive. Sysco faces thousands of competitors, including other food distributors, wholesale or retail outlets, grocery stores, and online retailers. Sysco also risks its customers negotiating directly with its suppliers.

However, Sysco is the largest operator in the industry and has kept competitors at bay for so many years. Sysco estimates that it controls approximately 17% of the $370 billion+ annual foodservice market in the U.S., giving it ample room to continue expanding.

Source: Investor Presentation

Sysco operates ~340 distribution facilities worldwide and serves roughly 730,000 customer locations. This significant presence enables Sysco to maintain low costs and pass on the benefits to its customers through competitive pricing.

Another benefit of Sysco’s business model is its resistance to recessions. Everyone has to eat, which gives Sysco a certain level of demand, regardless of the condition of the U.S. economy.

This is why Sysco’s profits held up well during the Great Recession:

Sysco’s earnings per share increased by double digits in 2008 and 2010, with only a mild dip in 2009. The company also increased earnings from 2007 to 2010, a rare achievement.

Sysco’s stable industry and top competitive position have allowed it to raise its dividend each year, even during recessions.

Valuation & Expected Returns

Sysco is expected to produce adjusted earnings per share of $4.37 in fiscal 2025. The stock has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5.

Our fair value estimate is a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.0, indicating that the stock is currently trading below its fair value. Growing to this target valuation would increase annual returns by 4.0% over the next five years.

We also expect Sysco to deliver 7% annual earnings growth going forward, consisting of organic growth, acquisitions, and share repurchases.

In addition, Sysco’s current dividend yield is 2.8%, which is higher than the average yield of the broader S&P 500 Index. This results in total expected annualized returns of 13.8% per year over the next five years.

Sysco should have little trouble increasing its dividend in the future. The company is expected to have a dividend payout ratio of 47% for fiscal 2025. This indicates that the dividend is sufficiently covered and is likely to continue increasing over time.

Final Thoughts

Sysco operates at the top of its industry. However, it faced severe headwinds during the pandemic. However, the forward outlook is bright.

The stock is undervalued, meaning that the current market price may be an opportune time to purchase it. We believe that future returns will be strong for investors who buy the stock at the current valuation level.

As a result, Sysco remains a quality holding within a dividend growth portfolio and a buy at the current price.

Additional Reading

The following databases of stocks contain stocks with very long dividend or corporate histories, ripe for selection for dividend growth investors.

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