Published on September 28th, 2022 by Thomas Richmond
Updated on August 31st, 2023
3M Company (MMM) is a storied company with a long history of growing shareholder wealth. 3M has increased its dividend for over 60 consecutive years, a milestone that only a small handful of companies have reached.
As a result, it is on the exclusive Dividend Kings list. To be a Dividend King, a stock must have 50+ years of consecutive dividend increases.
You can download the full list of all 50 Dividend Kings (along with important financial metrics such as dividend yields and price-to-earnings ratios) by clicking on the link below:
3M has established itself as a premiere dividend growth stock due to the strength of its business model. Diversity has been a big part of 3M’s success over the years. Operating large businesses across multiple economic industries has allowed 3M to post consistent profits year after year, even during recessions.
In many instances, weakness in one or multiple segments has been offset by strength in other areas, giving the company steady growth over time.
At the same time, companies need to reinvent themselves as time passes, to stay on top of economic trends and continue on a path of long-term growth. Mergers and acquisitions are a part of 3M’s long-term growth plan, as are occasional divestitures and spinoffs.
The company recently announced that it would undergo a major change, planning to spin off its healthcare segment into an independent company.
For investors, the question now is how the spinoff will impact the long-term direction of the business. This article will attempt to answer this question.
3M Spinoff Overview
3M is a leading global manufacturer, with operations in more than 70 countries. The company has a product portfolio comprised of over 60,000 items, which are sold to customers in more than 200 countries. These products are used every day in homes, office buildings, schools, hospitals, and others.
For the time being, 3M operates four separate segments: Safety & Industrial, Transportation & Electronics, Consumer, and Healthcare.
On July 27th, 2023, 3M announced earnings results for the second quarter for the period ending June 30th, 2023. For the quarter, revenue declined 4.4% to $8.3 billion, but this was $440 million above estimates. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $2.17 compared unfavorably to $2.48 in the prior year, but was $0.41 more than projected.
Organic growth for the quarter fell 2.5% for the period, but the Health Care business was a standout performer with positive organic growth of 0.1% year-over-year.
Source: Investor Presentation
3M updated its outlook for 2023, with the company now expecting adjusted earnings-per-share in a range of $8.60 to $9.10 for the year, up from $8.50 to $9.00.
Along with its quarterly results, the company separately announced that it will spinoff its healthcare segment. This is a major announcement, as the healthcare business itself generates over $8 billion in annual sales.
Source: Investor Presentation
The healthcare spin-off will retain the product portfolio which generated $8.6 billion of sales in 2021.
3M intends the transaction to be a tax-free spinoff into a standalone publicly-traded company. The “new” 3M is expected to retain a 19.9% stake in the healthcare company, which may be divested over time.
The new healthcare company is also expected to have a net leverage of 3.0x–3.5x adjusted EBITDA. While this is fairly high, 3M expects rapid deleveraging.
The stand-alone healthcare technology business will focus on wound care, oral care, healthcare IT, and biopharma filtration. The spin-off is expected to be complete by the end of 2023 or early 2024.
3M Separation of the Food Safety Business
Aside from the recent news about the Healthcare spinoff, 3M announced on August 29th that they had finalized the spinoff of their Food Safety business, Garden SpinCo, which is set to merge with Neogen.
This deal was originally announced back in December of 2021. For months, shareholders have known about this deal, valuing the Food Safety business at $5.3 billion. Now, the deal has been finalized.
The final exchange ratio was announced as approximately 6.7713, meaning that while the tender offer was available, 3M shareholders could choose to receive 6.7713 shares of Neogen if they wanted to exchange their 3M shares.
Tender offers are generally beneficial to shareholders, because shareholders can exchange their shares at a slight premium to market value. Shareholders who tendered shares were expected to receive $107.53 of Neogen common stock for every $100 of 3M common stock they tendered.
This deal, along with the Healthcare spinoff, are both going to have a strong impact on 3M’s future.
How Will the Spinoff Impact Future Growth?
3M has been in business for over a century, which may prompt investors to ask why the company would spinoff one of its largest operating segments.
Generally, companies pursue spinoffs for a few common reasons. Spinning off a segment makes it its own publicly-traded entity, with its own dedicated management team. This provides the new entity greater resources than it had under the umbrella of its former parent company.
In addition, there is usually a view among company management that the post-spinoff entities can earn a higher cumulative valuation than the single entity previously had. This is often done after management performs a sum-of-the-parts valuation analysis of the underlying businesses.
There is also precedent for large companies to pursue spinoffs as a way of generating better long-term growth (and value for shareholders). For example, Pfizer (PFE) separated its consumer segment in 2018 before combining it with GlaxoSmithKline’s (GSK) consumer business just a few months later.
More recently, diversified healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) spun-off its consumer healthcare business from its pharmaceutical and medical devices businesses, which is now called Kenvue (KVUE).
To summarize, the motivation behind such a shift in strategy is likely due to the goal of unlocking value for shareholders. By focusing on its core industrial businesses while allowing its healthcare business to flourish on its own, the “new” 3M is likely to receive a higher valuation from the market, as these businesses generate higher growth.
How Should 3M Shareholders React?
A sizeable change in direction for one of the country’s oldest companies could be a shock to many shareholders. That said, we feel that investors shouldn’t panic and sell their positions. Instead, we recommend investors receive shares of the new company and hold through the spinoff.
Going forward, the “new” 3M will be able to focus on its own strategic growth priorities, which include automotive/mobility, electronics, sustainability, digitization, robotics and automation, e-commerce, and more.
Meanwhile, the healthcare spinoff will have a strong business of its own, with annual sales of approximately $8.6 billion, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of $2.7 billion, and EBITDA margins of ~30%.
The new healthcare company will have diversification of its own, with leading products and services across multiple areas including medical solutions, oral care, health information systems, and separation and purification sciences. Each of these segments is large, and growing.
Source: Investor Presentation
What many shareholders are probably most concerned with is how this will impact the company’s dividend. After all, 3M has one of the longest dividend growth streaks in the entire stock market, at 65 years. The payout ratio is reasonable, expected at 68% of adjusted EPS for 2023. With the company’s long dividend history, we’re not concerned about 3M cutting their dividend.
Investors can look back at other similar separations to see what the future of the dividend holds. Other healthcare companies that have split have continued to raise dividends, with Abbott Laboratories (ABT) and AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) being the most prominent example.
The two combined dividends of these companies are greater today than at the time that they were separated in 2013. Both companies have continued to raise their dividends in the years since they separated.
We believe that the eventual separation of the healthcare segment will not result in a lower combined dividend than what shareholders currently receive. For its part, 3M management stated in the spinoff announcement that it does not anticipate any change in its capital allocation priorities through the separation.
Of course, what happens moving forward is what’s important for current shareholders. Much depends on the future growth of the new 3M, and the healthcare company. Both companies should continue to grow their sales and earnings in the years ahead.
For this reason, we believe both companies will have the ability to raise their respective dividends each year, as the current 3M has done for over 60 years.
3M has a long history of steady growth over the decades. Since its inception, it has routinely utilized acquisitions to supplement its growth, but it has rarely reorganized its business in such a dramatic fashion as the planned spinoff of the healthcare business.
The upcoming spinoff may be a concern for 3M shareholders. After reviewing the details of the spinoff, it appears both companies will be able to continue growing. The new 3M and the healthcare company both possess durable competitive advantages and specific long-term growth catalysts.
We remain confident that 3M will create greater shareholder value with the spinoff, and the dividend looks very safe.
Therefore, we feel 3M will remain a top dividend growth stock to own. It is likely the new company receives a higher valuation and the new healthcare company will attain its own leadership position in the healthcare industry.
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